Rex's New "Can't Lose" Roulette System
January 28, 2009
Out of all the hours I have spent gambling inside of casinos, there is one game that I have only played for a grand total of perhaps one hour.
Given the way I phrased that statement, you are probably thinking that it is some obscure game like “Vietnamese 8 Card Queen-High Kung Pow” or something similar.
That is not the case, though. The very common and popular game I very rarely play is … Roulette.
For some reason, I have just not been particularly attracted to the game.
It’s more of a spectator game and I don’t really have to do much of anything. In theory, this is good, but I like to make some decisions that effect my gambling outcome besides picking completely random numbers.
I think the main thing I have against Roulette is the overwhelming simplicity of it. It strikes me as a miniature version of the lottery … with a wheel.
Now, I have nothing against the lottery. I have driven to Primm numerous times to pick up tickets when the California lottery has gotten huge. I think the most I have ever won on a single ticket is twenty bucks or so, but like the lottery board tells the suckers … “you can’t win if you don’t play”.
Nonetheless, I recognize the lottery for what it is. An idiot tax. Some people call it “The Ghetto Retirement Plan” or “The White Trash 401K” and other less-than-kind names, but I don’t really play the lottery for money … I play it for sheer amusement. I know I have no chance at winning the lottery, but there is something psychologically interesting about having a theoretical shot at $200,000,000.
It is exactly because of that two hundred million dollars that I plunk down ten bucks for lottery tickets.
Roulette has always seemed a less favorable risk/reward than even the lottery to me. Sure, my odds of hitting a single number are much better than the lottery, but my chances are still only about 2.5% on any given spin.
Due to the two greens, the house always maintains a 5% edge. This is a rough give-up for a local grinder.
Even if I hit the single number, the payoff is less than $175 on a fin bet. The risk/reward is just not exciting.
Of course, I can always bet on black or red, odd or even … but what is the difference between that and betting on the outcome of a coin flip?
Hell, it’s even worse than betting on a coin flip. A coin can’t land on green.
For these reason, I never really thought much about Roulette beyond it being a mindless game of “pick a number”.
Recently, though, my interest was rekindled a bit.
One of my gambling friends told me that he had a “system” for Roulette.
“Yeah, sure you do.” I said. “And I have a seventeen inch schlong.”
Of course, this sarcasm is a gross exaggeration on my part. In reality, it’s only fifteen inches, but that’s not the point …
The point is that there is no way in hell that someone can have a “system” for a game as mundane as Roulette.
For the sake of morbid curiosity, I asked him to explain to me how this system works, and when he told me, it seemed incredibly stupid. The gist was that you are supposed to bet on odd/even or a color, and keep doubling your bet until you win … at which point you start over.
WTF???
What kind of “system” is that?
That sounds like something a third grader would come up with.
It also sounded like a way to lose a ton of money really fast. I mean, you’d think a casino would catch on to such a simplistic system. If that actually worked, casinos would be going bankrupt left and right.
“No, no, it works”, he insisted.
I dismissed the guy as a complete fartknocker and didn’t give it much further thought.
Outside of very skilled card counting, I have lived in this city long enough to know that these “systems” can’t work.
Have you ever driven under the 4th Street overpass Downtown? Have you seen all those guys camped out under the bridge?
Here’s the thing … every one of those guys had a “system” at one point in their life.
I thought it over, and after careful consideration, I decided that I didn’t want to live under the 4th street overpass. Not that there’s anything wrong with living under a bridge … the color scheme just does nothing for me. I also like to crap in places with indoor plumbing. I guess I’m metrosexual like that.
This being the case, there was no way in hell that I was going too risk a $5/spin and doubling that bet until I won.
I’m just not into Roulette enough to try this “system”, therefore, I have held off even attempting it.
Until today.
This afternoon while walking through the Venetian, I spotted something that interested me. It was a 25 cent video Roulette game. Holy Mother of Moses, the answer to my prayers.
I could finally try out this “system” with a $20 bill instead of a couple of C notes.
I was going to do just what this guy told me to do. I decided to bet on black, and double my bet each time I lost … starting with 25 cents.
Luckily, I won my first three spins outright. On my fourth spin, I hit red, and the boredom began.
I kept doubling my bet every time I lost, and started over when I won.
After roughly an hour, and at least a couple hundred “spins”, I had $16 left on my ticket.
What the bloody hell? What kind of fruit loop “system” was this?
Granted I wasn’t losing a lot of money, but this felt like a slow grind down to … at best … break even.
I haven’t crunched the statistics, but I’m really not sure why this is even supposed to work. It doesn’t seem to account for those two green zeros that seem to come up at the most inopportune times.
I have tell you, I am not impressed.
I cashed out with fifteen bucks and change, and walked away.
As I sit here, $4 poorer, I can only thank god that I didn’t take a grand to the big table. I would be down $200 bucks, and really kicking myself for even entertaining the thought that this thing possibly had any merit.
Maybe it only works on felt, and not video games. Or maybe it only works when the moon is in a waning phase on the second Tuesday of the month.
One thing became clear. If I want to take up the game of Roulette with any level of enthusiasm, I need to devise my own system.
I’ve heard that if you bet all the numbers in your birthday, you can’t possibly lose.
That’s the Roulette “system” I’m trying next.
There are eight permutations of unique numbers in my birthday, and I am going to walk up to the felt tomorrow and bet them all.
If I win, then I will have validated my new system. If I lose, I will keep doubling my bet until I win.
I’m going to conquer this Roulette game once and for all. You’ll see.
Next time you’re in town, be sure to look me up.
You can find me under the 4th Street overpass explaining my “birthday system” to my new roommates.





Written by Mulleon on January 28, 2009 at 9:28 pm
The only reason to play roulette is if there are some half naked drunk coeds playing
Written by lawrence on January 29, 2009 at 4:25 am
Hi Rex
Came across your blog for the first time last week…. I enjoyed your writings so much I read the entire archives in one shot! I now have it as an entry in my Google Reader RSS feed.
Keep up the good writing!!. Your stories and anecdotes are a pleasure to read.
Cheers
PS I can relate to you somewhat as I am a tight as a knat poker player too!
Written by Jeff on January 29, 2009 at 8:57 am
My favorite thing about roulette is the big board that shows the history of recent spins. You know, for all the people that don’t understand probability and the fact that no matter what the ball landed on the last 30 times it was spun, it has absolutely zero effect on the current spin.
“But it hit red 20 times in a row. Black is due.” Sure it is.
Written by buttnugget on January 29, 2009 at 11:04 am
Rex,
Your friend’s system is called the Martingale. There’s two reasons why it won’t work. First there will come a time where bad luck will make the opposite color from what you’re betting come up 8 or more times in a row. Even at a five dollar table by the ninth spin you’re having to bet $2560 to win your original $5. Second, most casinos also have a max bet of ~ $3000 so once you get past $2560 you’re screwed (and not in the good sense, but the Jamie sense). Go with your birthday scheme.
By the way, I CAN make my dick 17 inches long, but I hate bending it in half like that.
Written by Magnumdf on January 30, 2009 at 2:17 pm
Speaking of betting your birthday…last year I went to Mohegan Sun the night before my birthday (which is Oct 12) Just for the fuck of it, I desided that at midnight, as soon as it is officially my BD I was going to put $100 on 12. I was playing LIR on a table next to the Roulette table. I kept looking at my watch so I wouldn’t miss midnight. Well, I was drinking a ton of Sam Adams and lost track of time. I checked my watch and it was 12:05 am. I figured what the hell, I went to the table, and the ball was spinning and they called no more bets. As the ball was spinning, I told everyone at the table about my plan. Wouldn’t you know it, the ball landed on the 12. Just my shitty luck. Then everyone told me. go ahead, bet it anyway…that’s what you came here for. Long story short, i bet it and it came out again! back to back! what are the odds? The whole table just exploded in cheers, high 5s all around! It was one of the top 3 gabling moments of my life. That the the first, last,and only bet I have ever made on that game.
Written by McGoo on January 31, 2009 at 6:40 am
Hey Rex,
First of all thanks for your blog, I’ve been reading these entries as well as your site for years, so thanks for that. You might be aware of another crock of a roulette system where you bet 2 of the twelves at a time, so place a bet on the first twelve and the last twelve or whatever combo you want. If you lose you double your bet, so your betting $10 to win $15, stupid. I tried it, lost.